You might call them swapping stations, battery cell replacement stations, charging stations or any combination of the above. The important thing is, we will be talking about them soon: there's a $400 million startup company, and billions of dollars in capital set aside by its partners, who are all banking on it. Â The idea? Â The future, as they see it, is one where drivers will be provided with ultra-cheap cars and then billed by the mile/kilometer as they move around. Or perhaps they might choose to buy a contract that comes with a set number of miles, depending on their personal needs, and pay extra if and when they go above this agreed upon amount — yes, it sounds very much like the same business model that cell phone providers employ.
The startup entity behind this model is called ** you don't have permission to see this link **, and the man at the helm is Shai Agassi. Â His ability to make a compelling presentation has drawn parallels to Apple's Steve Jobs; however, it takes more than just charisma to attract investors. Â Agassi's ambitious propsal includes installing a network of charging stations where customers can swap the old batteries from their cars with new batteries. Â Sophisticated software will allow the company to determine when electricity prices are at their lowest, at which point the old batteries will be recharged. Â At peak hours when demand is high, they will be able to sell excess power back into the grid. Â The third party to this electricity arbitrage will be the buyer, who according to Better Place will benefit from the low cost of electricity when compared with gasoline. Â Additionally, the waiting time to switch batteries will be minimal, as Better Place has engineered a robot capable of performing the task in under a minute.
The whole scheme, and especially the prospect of having a hassle-free battery swap, will require massive standardization. Â This is where Better Place's partners come into play. Â Agassi has formed an agreement with Renault-Nissan, who will be spending about $600 million to build electric models of its already existing vehicles. Â The expected deployment date is 2011, and in the meantime Better Place will be constructing the electric infrastructure. Â It has already begun setting up stations in Japan and Israel, and it has recently announced agreements with investors to raise $1 billion (Australian) to construct a similar network in Australia.
If much of this post reads like a press release, it is only because of the audacity of this company's plans and its potential to disrupt the entire auto industry. Â We are so used to thinking of our cars as necessary capital expenditures with maintenance costs and a fixed life. Â Our mobile phones, on the other hand, are largely subsidized by telecom companies who offer contracts or pay-as-you-go deals. Â In the latter scenario, more of the driver's costs are deferred, and they vary according to his or her needs.
This business model, however, does seem to have its drawbacks. Â Consumers will have to adopt the mindset of their car becoming a standarized accessory, rather than a symbol of self-expression. Â Additionally, the prospect of having to visit a charging station each time you want to "refuel" is daunting and might be hard to accept — Designing the vehicles with the ability to plug-in at home will go a long way to solving this. Â Another problem is basing the pricing model off the distance that the driver travels: Â this might create an incentive for customers to "steal" power from their batteries, transferring it out to another battery perhaps, and simply swapping at a station for free. Â If Better Place were to start pricing for batteries instead of for mileage, it would make it very hard to charge at home (unless a tamper-proof meter were installed). Â And finally, the cost of building the infrastructure is extremely high, yet without plenty of swapping station available, it would be hard for a driver to justify signing up.
Mr. Agassi and his company already have a lot of believers. Â Despite the large hurdles that face them, they are moving forward with their plans, and many countries are going to be effected. Â We will keep an eye out here for more developments as they happen.
Read original blog post